Stock Analysis
Concerns Surrounding Krishana Phoschem's (NSE:KRISHANA) Performance
The recent earnings posted by Krishana Phoschem Limited (NSE:KRISHANA) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.
See our latest analysis for Krishana Phoschem
Zooming In On Krishana Phoschem's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Over the twelve months to March 2024, Krishana Phoschem recorded an accrual ratio of 0.25. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of ₹404.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through ₹1.2b in the last year. We also note that Krishana Phoschem's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of ₹1.2b.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Krishana Phoschem.
Our Take On Krishana Phoschem's Profit Performance
Krishana Phoschem's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Krishana Phoschem's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 67% over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, Krishana Phoschem has 3 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Krishana Phoschem's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:KRISHANA
Krishana Phoschem
Engages in the manufacture and sale of fertilizers and chemicals in India.