Kothari Petrochemicals Limited (NSE:KOTHARIPET) Soars 26% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward
Kothari Petrochemicals Limited (NSE:KOTHARIPET) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 77% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 35x, you may still consider Kothari Petrochemicals as a highly attractive investment with its 16.4x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Kothari Petrochemicals as its earnings have been rising very briskly. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Kothari Petrochemicals
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Kothari Petrochemicals' earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Kothari Petrochemicals would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 63% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 183% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Kothari Petrochemicals' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Kothari Petrochemicals' P/E?
Even after such a strong price move, Kothari Petrochemicals' P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Kothari Petrochemicals revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Kothari Petrochemicals, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
You might be able to find a better investment than Kothari Petrochemicals. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kothari Petrochemicals might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:KOTHARIPET
Kothari Petrochemicals
Engages in the manufacture and sale of petrochemical products in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record and pays a dividend.