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The KCP Limited's (NSE:KCP) Share Price Boosted 35% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too
The KCP Limited (NSE:KCP) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 35% after a shaky period beforehand. The annual gain comes to 107% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, KCP's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 30x and even P/E's above 58x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for KCP as its earnings have been rising very briskly. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for KCP
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on KCP's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is KCP's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, KCP would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 352%. The latest three year period has also seen a 16% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's understandable that KCP's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
The Final Word
KCP's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that KCP maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - KCP has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than KCP. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if KCP might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:KCP
KCP
Engages in the cement, heavy engineering, power generation, and hospitality businesses in India and Vietnam.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.