Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise Jubilant Industries Limited's (NSE:JUBLINDS) Earnings Pushing Shares 25% Higher

NSEI:JUBLINDS
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Despite an already strong run, Jubilant Industries Limited (NSE:JUBLINDS) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 145% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 34x, you may consider Jubilant Industries as a stock to avoid entirely with its 77.9x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

For instance, Jubilant Industries' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Jubilant Industries

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:JUBLINDS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 6th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jubilant Industries will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Jubilant Industries' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 34%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 114% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's understandable that Jubilant Industries' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Jubilant Industries' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Jubilant Industries revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its high P/E, given they look better than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Jubilant Industries that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Jubilant Industries. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.