Stock Analysis

Jubilant Industries (NSE:JUBLINDS) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

NSEI:JUBLINDS
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Jubilant Industries Limited (NSE:JUBLINDS) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Jubilant Industries

What Is Jubilant Industries's Debt?

As you can see below, Jubilant Industries had ₹1.43b of debt at March 2024, down from ₹1.92b a year prior. On the flip side, it has ₹148.1m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹1.29b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:JUBLINDS Debt to Equity History August 14th 2024

A Look At Jubilant Industries' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Jubilant Industries had liabilities of ₹4.61b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹489.9m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹148.1m in cash and ₹2.49b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹2.45b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Jubilant Industries has a market capitalization of ₹23.8b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.1 and interest cover of 5.4 times, it seems to us that Jubilant Industries is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. One way Jubilant Industries could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 10%, as it did over the last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Jubilant Industries's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Jubilant Industries's free cash flow amounted to 29% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Jubilant Industries's net debt to EBITDA was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. Having said that, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Jubilant Industries is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Jubilant Industries is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.