Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Jindal Stainless Limited (NSE:JSL) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Jindal Stainless
What Is Jindal Stainless's Debt?
As you can see below, Jindal Stainless had ₹30.3b of debt at March 2021, down from ₹39.0b a year prior. However, it does have ₹1.85b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹28.4b.
How Healthy Is Jindal Stainless' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Jindal Stainless had liabilities of ₹40.6b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹34.6b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹1.85b in cash and ₹9.37b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹63.9b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₹60.8b, we think shareholders really should watch Jindal Stainless's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While Jindal Stainless has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 2.0, its interest cover seems weak, at 2.1. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. It is well worth noting that Jindal Stainless's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 43% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jindal Stainless can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Jindal Stainless actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
Jindal Stainless's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to cover its interest expense with its EBIT. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Jindal Stainless's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Jindal Stainless (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:JSL
Jindal Stainless
Manufactures and sells stainless-steel flat products in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.
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