Even With A 26% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding India Glycols Limited's (NSE:INDIAGLYCO) Performance Completely
The India Glycols Limited (NSE:INDIAGLYCO) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 20% is also fairly reasonable.
Even after such a large jump in price, India Glycols' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.5x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 31x and even P/E's above 56x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
The earnings growth achieved at India Glycols over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for India Glycols
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on India Glycols' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like India Glycols' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 16%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 113% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's peculiar that India Glycols' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Despite India Glycols' shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of India Glycols revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for India Glycols you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than India Glycols. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:INDIAGLYCO
India Glycols
A green petrochemical company, engages in the manufacture and sale of industrial chemicals in India.
Proven track record with mediocre balance sheet.