Stock Analysis

Take Care Before Diving Into The Deep End On Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals Limited (NSE:GUJALKALI)

NSEI:GUJALKALI
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.5x in the Chemicals industry in India, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals Limited's (NSE:GUJALKALI) P/S ratio of 1.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:GUJALKALI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 2nd 2024

How Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals Has Been Performing

For instance, Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.3%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 74% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 12% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals' P/S?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

To our surprise, Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals (1 can't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.