Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals (NSE:GUJALKALI) shareholders are still up 96% over 5 years despite pulling back 8.8% in the past week
When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals Limited (NSE:GUJALKALI) share price is up 77% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Over the last twelve months the stock price has risen a very respectable 10%.
While the stock has fallen 8.8% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.
Check out our latest analysis for Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During five years of share price growth, Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals actually saw its EPS drop 22% per year.
Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.
On the other hand, Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals' revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 11% over the last five years. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
Investors should note that there's a difference between Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals' total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals' TSR of 96% for the 5 years exceeded its share price return, because it has paid dividends.
A Different Perspective
Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals provided a TSR of 14% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 14% over five years. It's quite possible the business continues to execute with prowess, even as the share price gains are slowing. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals that you should be aware of.
But note: Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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