Grasim Industries Limited's (NSE:GRASIMPP) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27.2x Grasim Industries Limited (NSE:GRASIMPP) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 32x and even P/E's higher than 58x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Grasim Industries' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Grasim Industries would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 28% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 49% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 68% during the coming year according to the nine analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 24% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that Grasim Industries' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Grasim Industries' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 6 warning signs for Grasim Industries (2 are significant!) that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Grasim Industries, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.