Stock Analysis

Deepak Nitrite Limited Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

NSEI:DEEPAKNTR
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It's been a good week for Deepak Nitrite Limited (NSE:DEEPAKNTR) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest third-quarter results, and the shares gained 4.4% to ₹2,312. Deepak Nitrite beat revenue expectations by 7.3%, at ₹20b. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in at ₹14.81, some 6.7% short of analyst estimates. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Deepak Nitrite

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NSEI:DEEPAKNTR Earnings and Revenue Growth February 17th 2024

Following the latest results, Deepak Nitrite's 14 analysts are now forecasting revenues of ₹86.5b in 2025. This would be a decent 15% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 31% to ₹75.69. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ₹88.8b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹80.60 in 2025. It's pretty clear that pessimism has reared its head after the latest results, leading to a weaker revenue outlook and a small dip in earnings per share estimates.

Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the ₹2,339 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Deepak Nitrite analyst has a price target of ₹2,658 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at ₹1,627. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Deepak Nitrite's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 12% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 21% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 12% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while Deepak Nitrite's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's expected to grow roughly in line with the industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Sadly, they also downgraded their revenue forecasts, but the business is still expected to grow at roughly the same rate as the industry itself. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Deepak Nitrite analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

We also provide an overview of the Deepak Nitrite Board and CEO remuneration and length of tenure at the company, and whether insiders have been buying the stock, here.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Deepak Nitrite is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.