Stock Analysis

We Think Cubex Tubings (NSE:CUBEXTUB) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

NSEI:CUBEXTUB
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Cubex Tubings Limited (NSE:CUBEXTUB) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Cubex Tubings

How Much Debt Does Cubex Tubings Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Cubex Tubings had debt of ₹283.0m, up from ₹126.0m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹24.2m, its net debt is less, at about ₹258.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:CUBEXTUB Debt to Equity History January 11th 2025

How Strong Is Cubex Tubings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Cubex Tubings had liabilities of ₹526.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹19.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹24.2m and ₹465.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹56.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Cubex Tubings shares are worth a total of ₹1.39b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Cubex Tubings has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.4 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 6.6 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Also relevant is that Cubex Tubings has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 26% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Cubex Tubings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Cubex Tubings saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Cubex Tubings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to grow its EBIT is pretty flash. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Cubex Tubings's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Cubex Tubings .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.