Stock Analysis

Cosmo First (NSE:COSMOFIRST) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

NSEI:COSMOFIRST
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Cosmo First Limited (NSE:COSMOFIRST) has announced that on 1st of September, it will be paying a dividend of₹3.00, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 0.4%, which is lower than the average for the industry.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Cosmo First's stock price has increased by 53% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

See our latest analysis for Cosmo First

Cosmo First's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end. Cosmo First is quite easily earning enough to cover the dividend, however it is being let down by weak cash flows. With the company not bringing in any cash, paying out to shareholders is bound to become difficult at some point.

Over the next year, EPS could expand by 2.2% if recent trends continue. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 14% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
NSEI:COSMOFIRST Historic Dividend July 12th 2024

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ₹0.667, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ₹3.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 16% over that duration. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Earnings have grown at around 2.2% a year for the past five years, which isn't massive but still better than seeing them shrink. While EPS growth is quite low, Cosmo First has the option to increase the payout ratio to return more cash to shareholders.

Our Thoughts On Cosmo First's Dividend

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 5 warning signs for Cosmo First you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning. Is Cosmo First not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.