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- NSEI:ABREL
Despite the downward trend in earnings at Century Textiles and Industries (NSE:CENTURYTEX) the stock grows 5.8%, bringing three-year gains to 175%
The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But in contrast you can make much more than 100% if the company does well. For example, the Century Textiles and Industries Limited (NSE:CENTURYTEX) share price has soared 170% in the last three years. That sort of return is as solid as granite. In more good news, the share price has risen 12% in thirty days. But this could be related to good market conditions -- stocks in its market are up 5.9% in the last month.
Since it's been a strong week for Century Textiles and Industries shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.
See our latest analysis for Century Textiles and Industries
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the three years of share price growth, Century Textiles and Industries actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 11% per year.
This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
The modest 0.7% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. It may well be that Century Textiles and Industries revenue growth rate of 21% over three years has convinced shareholders to believe in a brighter future. If the company is being managed for the long term good, today's shareholders might be right to hold on.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
Take a more thorough look at Century Textiles and Industries' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Century Textiles and Industries the TSR over the last 3 years was 175%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
Century Textiles and Industries shareholders are down 6.0% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 5.4%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 6% doled out over the last five years. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Century Textiles and Industries (1 doesn't sit too well with us) that you should be aware of.
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ABREL
Aditya Birla Real Estate
Manufactures and sells textiles, and pulp and paper products in India and internationally.
High growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.
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