Stock Analysis

Bayer CropScience Limited's (NSE:BAYERCROP) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

NSEI:BAYERCROP
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It's not a stretch to say that Bayer CropScience Limited's (NSE:BAYERCROP) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in India, where the median P/E ratio is around 32x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Recent earnings growth for Bayer CropScience has been in line with the market. It seems that many are expecting the mediocre earnings performance to persist, which has held the P/E back. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this can at least be maintained so that you could pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

See our latest analysis for Bayer CropScience

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:BAYERCROP Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Bayer CropScience's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Growth For Bayer CropScience?

Bayer CropScience's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 20%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 31% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 5.2% per annum during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 20% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it interesting that Bayer CropScience is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What We Can Learn From Bayer CropScience's P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Bayer CropScience currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Bayer CropScience you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Bayer CropScience. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bayer CropScience might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.