Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Atul (NSE:ATUL) Is Using Debt Extensively

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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Atul Ltd (NSE:ATUL) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Atul

What Is Atul's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Atul had ₹1.62b of debt, up from ₹731.9m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₹3.69b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of ₹2.07b.

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NSEI:ATUL Debt to Equity History March 29th 2024

A Look At Atul's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Atul had liabilities of ₹8.15b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹3.33b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹3.69b as well as receivables valued at ₹9.07b due within 12 months. So it can boast ₹1.28b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that Atul's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the ₹168.9b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Atul has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Atul if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 38% cut to EBIT over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Atul's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Atul has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Atul recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Atul has ₹2.07b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Atul's balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Atul .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Atul is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.