Stock Analysis

Atul Ltd Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

NSEI:ATUL
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As you might know, Atul Ltd (NSE:ATUL) just kicked off its latest first-quarter results with some very strong numbers. It was overall a positive result, with revenues beating expectations by 3.2% to hit ₹13b. Atul also reported a statutory profit of ₹38.00, which was an impressive 26% above what the analysts had forecast. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

See our latest analysis for Atul

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:ATUL Earnings and Revenue Growth July 23rd 2024

Following the latest results, Atul's eleven analysts are now forecasting revenues of ₹54.6b in 2025. This would be a decent 12% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 50% to ₹169. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ₹54.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹167 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

The consensus price target rose 7.2% to ₹6,609despite there being no meaningful change to earnings estimates. It could be that the analystsare reflecting the predictability of Atul's earnings by assigning a price premium. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Atul at ₹8,006 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹4,163. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Atul's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 16% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 6.4% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 11% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Atul is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Atul. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Atul going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Atul you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.