Is Asahi Songwon Colors (NSE:ASAHISONG) Likely To Turn Things Around?
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Asahi Songwon Colors (NSE:ASAHISONG) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Asahi Songwon Colors is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.12 = ₹337m ÷ (₹3.3b - ₹430m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Therefore, Asahi Songwon Colors has an ROCE of 12%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Chemicals industry average of 14%.
See our latest analysis for Asahi Songwon Colors
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Asahi Songwon Colors' ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating Asahi Songwon Colors' past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Can We Tell From Asahi Songwon Colors' ROCE Trend?
In terms of Asahi Songwon Colors' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 12% from 22% five years ago. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
On a side note, Asahi Songwon Colors has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 13% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.The Key Takeaway
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Asahi Songwon Colors have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. But investors must be expecting an improvement of sorts because over the last five yearsthe stock has delivered a respectable 65% return. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.
On a final note, we've found 2 warning signs for Asahi Songwon Colors that we think you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:ASAHISONG
Asahi Songwon Colors
Engages in manufacturing and export of color pigments and derivatives in India.
Proven track record low.