Stock Analysis

Asahi Songwon Colors (NSE:ASAHISONG) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

NSEI:ASAHISONG
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Asahi Songwon Colors Limited (NSE:ASAHISONG) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Asahi Songwon Colors

What Is Asahi Songwon Colors's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Asahi Songwon Colors had debt of ₹1.97b, up from ₹1.80b in one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:ASAHISONG Debt to Equity History September 26th 2024

How Strong Is Asahi Songwon Colors' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Asahi Songwon Colors had liabilities of ₹2.18b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹911.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹26.6m as well as receivables valued at ₹1.24b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹1.82b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Asahi Songwon Colors has a market capitalization of ₹5.28b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Asahi Songwon Colors shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (6.0), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.2 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. However, the silver lining was that Asahi Songwon Colors achieved a positive EBIT of ₹160m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Asahi Songwon Colors will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Asahi Songwon Colors burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Asahi Songwon Colors's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. We're quite clear that we consider Asahi Songwon Colors to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 5 warning signs we've spotted with Asahi Songwon Colors (including 3 which shouldn't be ignored) .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.