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Anjani Portland Cement Limited's (NSE:APCL) Shares Bounce 34% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry
Those holding Anjani Portland Cement Limited (NSE:APCL) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 34% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 28% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, when close to half the companies operating in India's Basic Materials industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.7x, you may still consider Anjani Portland Cement as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Anjani Portland Cement
What Does Anjani Portland Cement's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Anjani Portland Cement over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Anjani Portland Cement will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Anjani Portland Cement would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 25% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 34% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to shrink 1.0% in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum is still inferior based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's understandable that Anjani Portland Cement's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, with revenue going quickly in reverse, it's not guaranteed that the P/S has found a floor yet. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth, which would be difficult to do with the current industry outlook.
The Bottom Line On Anjani Portland Cement's P/S
Anjani Portland Cement's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As expected, our analysis of Anjani Portland Cement confirms that the company's severe contraction in revenue over the past three-year years is a major contributor to its lower than industry P/S, given the industry is set to decline less. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. However, we're still cautious about the company's ability to prevent an acceleration of its recent medium-term course and resist even greater pain to its business from the broader industry turmoil. In the meantime, unless the company's relative performance improves, the share price will hit a barrier around these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Anjani Portland Cement (3 are significant!) that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Anjani Portland Cement, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:APCL
Slight and slightly overvalued.
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