Stock Analysis

Anjani Portland Cement Limited (NSE:APCL) Shares Fly 27% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

NSEI:APCL
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Anjani Portland Cement Limited (NSE:APCL) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 36%.

Although its price has surged higher, Anjani Portland Cement may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.8x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 17x and even P/E's higher than 40x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

The earnings growth achieved at Anjani Portland Cement over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Anjani Portland Cement

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NSEI:APCL Price Based on Past Earnings September 20th 2020
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Anjani Portland Cement will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Anjani Portland Cement's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 27% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 4.3% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 11% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that Anjani Portland Cement is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Bottom Line On Anjani Portland Cement's P/E

Despite Anjani Portland Cement's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Anjani Portland Cement revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Anjani Portland Cement you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Anjani Portland Cement. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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