AMD Industries (NSE:AMDIND) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, AMD Industries Limited (NSE:AMDIND) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Our analysis indicates that AMDIND is potentially undervalued!
What Is AMD Industries's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2022, AMD Industries had ₹811.1m of debt, up from ₹458.6m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹199.9m, its net debt is less, at about ₹611.2m.
A Look At AMD Industries' Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that AMD Industries had liabilities of ₹841.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹300.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹199.9m as well as receivables valued at ₹602.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹339.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because AMD Industries is worth ₹1.18b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.5 and interest cover of 4.8 times, it seems to us that AMD Industries is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Notably, AMD Industries's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 225% on last year. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since AMD Industries will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last two years, AMD Industries burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
AMD Industries's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about AMD Industries's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that AMD Industries is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:AMDIND
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.