These 4 Measures Indicate That AksharChem (India) (NSE:AKSHARCHEM) Is Using Debt Extensively
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that AksharChem (India) Limited (NSE:AKSHARCHEM) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for AksharChem (India)
What Is AksharChem (India)'s Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2020 AksharChem (India) had debt of ₹127.6m, up from ₹115.3m in one year. However, it does have ₹16.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹111.5m.
How Healthy Is AksharChem (India)'s Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, AksharChem (India) had liabilities of ₹439.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹136.9m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹16.1m in cash and ₹301.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹259.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Since publicly traded AksharChem (India) shares are worth a total of ₹1.95b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
AksharChem (India)'s net debt is only 0.45 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 17.9 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for AksharChem (India) if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 30% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since AksharChem (India) will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, AksharChem (India) saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
We feel some trepidation about AksharChem (India)'s difficulty EBIT growth rate, but we've got positives to focus on, too. For example, its interest cover and net debt to EBITDA give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that AksharChem (India) is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with AksharChem (India) (including 1 which is is a bit unpleasant) .
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About NSEI:AKSHARCHEM
AksharChem (India)
Manufactures and sells dyes, pigments, and inorganic chemicals in India.
Mediocre balance sheet and slightly overvalued.