Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Aarti Industries (NSE:AARTIIND) Is Using Debt Extensively

NSEI:AARTIIND
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Aarti Industries Limited (NSE:AARTIIND) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Aarti Industries

How Much Debt Does Aarti Industries Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2023 Aarti Industries had ₹29.1b of debt, an increase on ₹22.2b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹1.67b, its net debt is less, at about ₹27.4b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:AARTIIND Debt to Equity History September 20th 2023

How Strong Is Aarti Industries' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Aarti Industries had liabilities of ₹27.8b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹8.77b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹1.67b as well as receivables valued at ₹9.96b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹25.0b.

Of course, Aarti Industries has a market capitalization of ₹185.7b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Aarti Industries's debt is 2.7 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 6.7 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Shareholders should be aware that Aarti Industries's EBIT was down 59% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Aarti Industries can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Aarti Industries burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Aarti Industries's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Aarti Industries has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Aarti Industries that you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.