Stock Analysis

Revenue Miss: Thyrocare Technologies Limited Fell 10.0% Short Of Analyst Revenue Estimates And Analysts Have Been Revising Their Models

NSEI:THYROCARE
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Thyrocare Technologies Limited (NSE:THYROCARE) came out with its quarterly results last week, and we wanted to see how the business is performing and what industry forecasters think of the company following this report. Revenues came in 10.0% below expectations, at ₹1.3b. Statutory earnings per share were relatively better off, with a per-share profit of ₹12.14 being roughly in line with analyst estimates. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for Thyrocare Technologies

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NSEI:THYROCARE Earnings and Revenue Growth February 4th 2024

Following the latest results, Thyrocare Technologies' twin analysts are now forecasting revenues of ₹6.43b in 2025. This would be a meaningful 16% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to shoot up 56% to ₹19.25. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ₹6.64b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹20.00 in 2025. It's pretty clear that pessimism has reared its head after the latest results, leading to a weaker revenue outlook and a small dip in earnings per share estimates.

The analysts made no major changes to their price target of ₹723, suggesting the downgrades are not expected to have a long-term impact on Thyrocare Technologies' valuation.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Thyrocare Technologies' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 13% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 7.3% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to see revenue growth of 16% annually. So it's clear that despite the acceleration in growth, Thyrocare Technologies is expected to grow meaningfully slower than the industry average.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Thyrocare Technologies. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Thyrocare Technologies. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2026, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Thyrocare Technologies you should be aware of.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Thyrocare Technologies is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.