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Rainbow Children's Medicare Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
As you might know, Rainbow Children's Medicare Limited (NSE:RAINBOW) last week released its latest quarterly, and things did not turn out so great for shareholders. It wasn't a great result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at ₹4.4b, statutory earnings missed forecasts by an incredible 26%, coming in at just ₹7.41 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Rainbow Children's Medicare after the latest results.
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Rainbow Children's Medicare's eleven analysts is for revenues of ₹16.9b in 2026. This would reflect a reasonable 7.6% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to rise 7.9% to ₹26.96. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ₹17.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹29.50 in 2026. It's pretty clear that pessimism has reared its head after the latest results, leading to a weaker revenue outlook and a small dip in earnings per share estimates.
View our latest analysis for Rainbow Children's Medicare
Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the ₹1,650 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Rainbow Children's Medicare analyst has a price target of ₹1,780 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at ₹1,475. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Rainbow Children's Medicare's past performance and to peers in the same industry. The period to the end of 2026 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 16% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 14% annual growth over the past three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 19% per year. So it's pretty clear that Rainbow Children's Medicare is expected to grow slower than similar companies in the same industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Rainbow Children's Medicare. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Rainbow Children's Medicare going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here..
That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Rainbow Children's Medicare , and understanding it should be part of your investment process.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:RAINBOW
Rainbow Children's Medicare
Operates a multi-specialty paediatric, obstetrics, and gynaecology hospital chain in India.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.
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