Results: Global Health Limited Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
Global Health Limited (NSE:MEDANTA) defied analyst predictions to release its quarterly results, which were ahead of market expectations. It was overall a positive result, with revenues beating expectations by 6.7% to hit ₹10b. Global Health also reported a statutory profit of ₹5.91, which was an impressive 31% above what the analysts had forecast. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Global Health from 15 analysts is for revenues of ₹43.9b in 2026. If met, it would imply a decent 14% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 20% to ₹23.89. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹42.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹23.13 in 2026. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment following the latest results, withthe analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for both revenues and earnings.
Check out our latest analysis for Global Health
It will come as no surprise to learn that the analysts have increased their price target for Global Health 6.9% to ₹1,368on the back of these upgrades. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Global Health at ₹1,536 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹1,040. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Global Health'shistorical trends, as the 19% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2026 is roughly in line with the 16% annual growth over the past three years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 18% per year. It's clear that while Global Health's revenue growth is expected to continue on its current trajectory, it's only expected to grow in line with the industry itself.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Global Health following these results. They also upgraded their revenue forecasts, although the latest estimates suggest that Global Health will grow in line with the overall industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Global Health going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.