Stock Analysis

Here's Why Zuari Global (NSE:ZUARIGLOB) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

NSEI:ZUARIIND
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Zuari Global Limited (NSE:ZUARIGLOB) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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What Is Zuari Global's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2021 Zuari Global had debt of ₹22.2b, up from ₹17.9b in one year. On the flip side, it has ₹1.58b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹20.6b.

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NSEI:ZUARIGLOB Debt to Equity History February 11th 2022

How Healthy Is Zuari Global's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Zuari Global had liabilities of ₹9.41b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹18.8b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹1.58b and ₹1.90b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹24.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹5.33b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Zuari Global would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 0.39 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 26.5 hit our confidence in Zuari Global like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. The good news is that Zuari Global grew its EBIT a smooth 33% over the last twelve months. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Zuari Global's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Zuari Global actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last two years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

To be frank both Zuari Global's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Zuari Global's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Zuari Global (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.