Stock Analysis

Shareholders Of VST Industries (NSE:VSTIND) Must Be Happy With Their 153% Total Return

NSEI:VSTIND
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When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. Long term VST Industries Limited (NSE:VSTIND) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 120% in five years. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 24% gain in the last three months. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 22% in the last three months.

See our latest analysis for VST Industries

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, VST Industries achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 17% per year. That makes the EPS growth particularly close to the yearly share price growth of 17%. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Indeed, it would appear the share price is reacting to the EPS.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
NSEI:VSTIND Earnings Per Share Growth August 10th 2020

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on VST Industries' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, VST Industries' TSR for the last 5 years was 153%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that VST Industries shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 8.2% over the last year. That's including the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 20% per year, is even more impressive. The pessimistic view would be that be that the stock has its best days behind it, but on the other hand the price might simply be moderating while the business itself continues to execute. Before forming an opinion on VST Industries you might want to consider these 3 valuation metrics.

Of course VST Industries may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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