Sula Vineyards Limited (NSE:SULA) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to ₹3.60 on the 26th of July. The yield is still above the industry average at 3.3%.
Sula Vineyards' Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, Sula Vineyards' dividend was only 54% of earnings, however it was paying out 241% of free cash flows. The company might be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but paying out this much of its cash flow could expose the dividend to being cut in the future.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 41.2% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 36% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Check out our latest analysis for Sula Vineyards
Sula Vineyards Doesn't Have A Long Payment History
The dividend has been pretty stable looking back, but the company hasn't been paying one for very long. This makes it tough to judge how it would fare through a full economic cycle. The annual payment during the last 2 years was ₹5.25 in 2023, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ₹9.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 31% per annum over that time. It is always nice to see strong dividend growth, but with such a short payment history we wouldn't be inclined to rely on it until a longer track record can be developed.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. It's encouraging to see that Sula Vineyards has been growing its earnings per share at 31% a year over the past five years. The company doesn't have any problems growing, despite returning a lot of capital to shareholders, which is a very nice combination for a dividend stock to have.
Our Thoughts On Sula Vineyards' Dividend
Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Sula Vineyards that investors should take into consideration. Is Sula Vineyards not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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