Stock Analysis

Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (NSE:SIMBHALS) Stock Catapults 25% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

NSEI:SIMBHALS
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Despite an already strong run, Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (NSE:SIMBHALS) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 37% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, Simbhaoli Sugars may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Food industry in India have P/S ratios greater than 1.2x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Simbhaoli Sugars

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:SIMBHALS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 23rd 2024

How Has Simbhaoli Sugars Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Simbhaoli Sugars over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Simbhaoli Sugars will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Simbhaoli Sugars' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Simbhaoli Sugars would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.2%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 9.0% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 12% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that Simbhaoli Sugars is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What We Can Learn From Simbhaoli Sugars' P/S?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Simbhaoli Sugars' P/S close to the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It's no surprise that Simbhaoli Sugars maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Simbhaoli Sugars is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.