Stock Analysis

Rana Sugars Limited's (NSE:RANASUG) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 26%

NSEI:RANASUG
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Rana Sugars Limited (NSE:RANASUG) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 5.1% isn't as impressive.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 34x, you may still consider Rana Sugars as a highly attractive investment with its 13.8x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

For instance, Rana Sugars' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Rana Sugars

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:RANASUG Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 5th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Rana Sugars will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For Rana Sugars?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Rana Sugars would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 56%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 82% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that Rana Sugars is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

Even after such a strong price move, Rana Sugars' P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Rana Sugars maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Rana Sugars (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.