Stock Analysis
Ponni Sugars (Erode) Limited's (NSE:PONNIERODE) Shares Bounce 31% But Its Business Still Trails The Market
The Ponni Sugars (Erode) Limited (NSE:PONNIERODE) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 31%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 40% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, Ponni Sugars (Erode)'s price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.7x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 34x and even P/E's above 66x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Ponni Sugars (Erode) has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Ponni Sugars (Erode)
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Ponni Sugars (Erode)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Growth For Ponni Sugars (Erode)?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Ponni Sugars (Erode)'s to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 22% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 83% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we can see why Ponni Sugars (Erode) is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Ponni Sugars (Erode) are going to need a lot more upward momentum to get the company's P/E out of its slump. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Ponni Sugars (Erode) revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Ponni Sugars (Erode) that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:PONNIERODE
Ponni Sugars (Erode)
Engages in the manufacture and sale of sugar in India.