Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Nath Bio-Genes (India) Limited's (NSE:NATHBIOGEN) 26% Price Drop
Nath Bio-Genes (India) Limited (NSE:NATHBIOGEN) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 24% share price drop.
Even after such a large drop in price, given about half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 29x, you may still consider Nath Bio-Genes (India) as a highly attractive investment with its 8.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Nath Bio-Genes (India)'s earnings have been unimpressive. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to worsen, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Nath Bio-Genes (India)
How Is Nath Bio-Genes (India)'s Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Nath Bio-Genes (India)'s to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any earnings per share growth to speak of for the company over the past year. The longer-term trend has been no better as the company has no earnings growth to show for over the last three years either. So it seems apparent to us that the company has struggled to grow earnings meaningfully over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's understandable that Nath Bio-Genes (India)'s P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Nath Bio-Genes (India)'s P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Nath Bio-Genes (India) revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware Nath Bio-Genes (India) is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Nath Bio-Genes (India). So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Nath Bio-Genes (India) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:NATHBIOGEN
Nath Bio-Genes (India)
Engages in the production, processing, and marketing of hybrid and GM seeds in India and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.
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