David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Mawana Sugars Limited (NSE:MAWANASUG) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Mawana Sugars
How Much Debt Does Mawana Sugars Carry?
As you can see below, Mawana Sugars had ₹2.46b of debt at March 2021, down from ₹4.86b a year prior. However, it also had ₹2.15b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹309.5m.
How Healthy Is Mawana Sugars' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Mawana Sugars had liabilities of ₹9.21b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹892.1m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹2.15b and ₹389.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹7.57b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹2.58b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Mawana Sugars would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Given net debt is only 0.29 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Mawana Sugars's EBIT has low interest coverage of 1.5 times. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Pleasingly, Mawana Sugars is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 501% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Mawana Sugars will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Mawana Sugars saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Mawana Sugars's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Mawana Sugars to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Mawana Sugars (2 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:MAWANASUG
Mawana Sugars
Manufactures and sells sugar products in India and internationally.
Proven track record with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.