Stock Analysis

Is Magadh Sugar & Energy (NSE:MAGADSUGAR) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:MAGADSUGAR
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited (NSE:MAGADSUGAR) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Magadh Sugar & Energy

What Is Magadh Sugar & Energy's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Magadh Sugar & Energy had debt of ₹4.99b at the end of September 2021, a reduction from ₹6.41b over a year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:MAGADSUGAR Debt to Equity History December 21st 2021

How Healthy Is Magadh Sugar & Energy's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Magadh Sugar & Energy had liabilities of ₹4.35b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹1.31b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹4.38m and ₹110.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹5.54b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹3.26b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Magadh Sugar & Energy would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While we wouldn't worry about Magadh Sugar & Energy's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.4, we think its super-low interest cover of 1.8 times is a sign of high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Investors should also be troubled by the fact that Magadh Sugar & Energy saw its EBIT drop by 17% over the last twelve months. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Magadh Sugar & Energy will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Magadh Sugar & Energy recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

To be frank both Magadh Sugar & Energy's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also fails to instill confidence. Considering all the factors previously mentioned, we think that Magadh Sugar & Energy really is carrying too much debt. To us, that makes the stock rather risky, like walking through a dog park with your eyes closed. But some investors may feel differently. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Magadh Sugar & Energy you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.