Stock Analysis

We Think Hatsun Agro Product (NSE:HATSUN) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

NSEI:HATSUN
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Hatsun Agro Product Limited (NSE:HATSUN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Hatsun Agro Product

How Much Debt Does Hatsun Agro Product Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hatsun Agro Product had debt of ₹17.9b at the end of March 2023, a reduction from ₹19.4b over a year. However, it also had ₹419.3m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹17.5b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:HATSUN Debt to Equity History September 25th 2023

A Look At Hatsun Agro Product's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Hatsun Agro Product had liabilities of ₹11.9b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹11.2b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹419.3m in cash and ₹92.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹22.6b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Hatsun Agro Product has a market capitalization of ₹262.6b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Hatsun Agro Product's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.3 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 2.9 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Unfortunately, Hatsun Agro Product saw its EBIT slide 2.1% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hatsun Agro Product's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Hatsun Agro Product recorded free cash flow of 42% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Hatsun Agro Product is not finding it easy, given its interest cover, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that it has an adequate capacity to handle its total liabilities. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Hatsun Agro Product's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Hatsun Agro Product (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hatsun Agro Product might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.