Stock Analysis

The Trends At Hatsun Agro Product (NSE:HATSUN) That You Should Know About

NSEI:HATSUN
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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Looking at Hatsun Agro Product (NSE:HATSUN), it does have a high ROCE right now, but lets see how returns are trending.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Hatsun Agro Product:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.23 = ₹4.0b ÷ (₹28b - ₹11b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

So, Hatsun Agro Product has an ROCE of 23%. That's a fantastic return and not only that, it outpaces the average of 12% earned by companies in a similar industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Hatsun Agro Product

roce
NSEI:HATSUN Return on Capital Employed January 28th 2021

While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Hatsun Agro Product's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Can We Tell From Hatsun Agro Product's ROCE Trend?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Hatsun Agro Product doesn't inspire confidence. While it's comforting that the ROCE is high, five years ago it was 36%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

On a related note, Hatsun Agro Product has decreased its current liabilities to 38% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.

Our Take On Hatsun Agro Product's ROCE

To conclude, we've found that Hatsun Agro Product is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 243% return in the last five years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.

Hatsun Agro Product does have some risks though, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hatsun Agro Product that you might be interested in.

If you want to search for more stocks that have been earning high returns, check out this free list of stocks with solid balance sheets that are also earning high returns on equity.

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