Stock Analysis

Here's Why Gokul Agro Resources (NSE:GOKULAGRO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

NSEI:GOKULAGRO
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Gokul Agro Resources Limited (NSE:GOKULAGRO) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Gokul Agro Resources

What Is Gokul Agro Resources's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Gokul Agro Resources had ₹5.87b of debt, an increase on ₹4.67b, over one year. On the flip side, it has ₹4.45b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹1.42b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:GOKULAGRO Debt to Equity History May 29th 2024

How Strong Is Gokul Agro Resources' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Gokul Agro Resources had liabilities of ₹20.9b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹3.31b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹4.45b as well as receivables valued at ₹4.97b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹14.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₹23.2b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Gokul Agro Resources' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Gokul Agro Resources has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.48 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 2.2 times the interest expense. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Sadly, Gokul Agro Resources's EBIT actually dropped 3.3% in the last year. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Gokul Agro Resources's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Gokul Agro Resources burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Mulling over Gokul Agro Resources's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least it's pretty decent at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,; that's encouraging. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Gokul Agro Resources's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Gokul Agro Resources's earnings per share history for free.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.