Gokul Agro Resources Limited's (NSE:GOKULAGRO) Shares Leap 27% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story
Despite an already strong run, Gokul Agro Resources Limited (NSE:GOKULAGRO) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 162% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
Even after such a large jump in price, Gokul Agro Resources' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.9x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 32x and even P/E's above 59x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Gokul Agro Resources as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Gokul Agro Resources
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Gokul Agro Resources, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Gokul Agro Resources' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 52%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 169% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it odd that Gokul Agro Resources is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Gokul Agro Resources' stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Gokul Agro Resources currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Gokul Agro Resources that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:GOKULAGRO
Gokul Agro Resources
Engages in the manufacture and trading of edible and non-edible oils, meals, and other agro products in India.
Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet.