Stock Analysis
Investors Don't See Light At End Of Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited's (NSE:DHAMPURSUG) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 26%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (NSE:DHAMPURSUG) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 48% in that time.
Following the heavy fall in price, given about half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 32x, you may consider Dhampur Sugar Mills as a highly attractive investment with its 12.5x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Dhampur Sugar Mills over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Dhampur Sugar Mills
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Dhampur Sugar Mills will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Dhampur Sugar Mills' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 54%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 67% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Dhampur Sugar Mills' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Final Word
Having almost fallen off a cliff, Dhampur Sugar Mills' share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Dhampur Sugar Mills revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Dhampur Sugar Mills (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:DHAMPURSUG
Dhampur Sugar Mills
Manufactures and sells sugar and its byproducts in India.