Investors Could Be Concerned With Adani Wilmar's (NSE:AWL) Returns On Capital
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at Adani Wilmar (NSE:AWL), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Adani Wilmar:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.14 = ₹13b ÷ (₹210b - ₹117b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
Therefore, Adani Wilmar has an ROCE of 14%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 13% generated by the Food industry.
View our latest analysis for Adani Wilmar
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Adani Wilmar compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Adani Wilmar.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
In terms of Adani Wilmar's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around four years ago the returns on capital were 28%, but since then they've fallen to 14%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a related note, Adani Wilmar has decreased its current liabilities to 56% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE. Either way, they're still at a pretty high level, so we'd like to see them fall further if possible.
In Conclusion...
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Adani Wilmar's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And in the last year, the stock has given away 32% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
One more thing, we've spotted 2 warning signs facing Adani Wilmar that you might find interesting.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:AWL
Adani Wilmar
A fast-moving consumer goods food company, provides kitchen commodities in India.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.