Stock Analysis

Adani Wilmar (NSE:AWL) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

NSEI:AWL
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at Adani Wilmar (NSE:AWL), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Adani Wilmar:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.17 = ₹17b ÷ (₹219b - ₹117b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

So, Adani Wilmar has an ROCE of 17%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Food industry average of 12% it's much better.

See our latest analysis for Adani Wilmar

roce
NSEI:AWL Return on Capital Employed January 20th 2025

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Adani Wilmar compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Adani Wilmar .

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Adani Wilmar, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 17% from 28% five years ago. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

On a side note, Adani Wilmar has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 54% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE. Either way, they're still at a pretty high level, so we'd like to see them fall further if possible.

Our Take On Adani Wilmar's ROCE

To conclude, we've found that Adani Wilmar is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Since the stock has declined 26% over the last year, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.

Adani Wilmar does have some risks though, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Adani Wilmar that you might be interested in.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.