Stock Analysis

Aegis Logistics (NSE:AEGISCHEM) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

NSEI:AEGISLOG
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Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Having said that, from a first glance at Aegis Logistics (NSE:AEGISCHEM) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Aegis Logistics, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.10 = ₹2.8b ÷ (₹32b - ₹4.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

Thus, Aegis Logistics has an ROCE of 10%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Oil and Gas industry average of 7.9% it's much better.

See our latest analysis for Aegis Logistics

roce
NSEI:AEGISCHEM Return on Capital Employed February 12th 2022

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Aegis Logistics compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Aegis Logistics here for free.

What Can We Tell From Aegis Logistics' ROCE Trend?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Aegis Logistics, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 10% from 26% five years ago. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.

On a side note, Aegis Logistics has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 14% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.

The Key Takeaway

From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Aegis Logistics have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. Despite the concerning underlying trends, the stock has actually gained 12% over the last five years, so it might be that the investors are expecting the trends to reverse. Either way, we aren't huge fans of the current trends and so with that we think you might find better investments elsewhere.

If you want to continue researching Aegis Logistics, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.