Stock Analysis

Pilani Investment and Industries Corporation Limited's (NSE:PILANIINVS) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

NSEI:PILANIINVS
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Despite an already strong run, Pilani Investment and Industries Corporation Limited (NSE:PILANIINVS) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 152% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Pilani Investment and Industries' P/E ratio of 33.6x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in India is also close to 34x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Pilani Investment and Industries over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Pilani Investment and Industries

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:PILANIINVS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 24th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Pilani Investment and Industries' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Pilani Investment and Industries' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 32% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 72% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it interesting that Pilani Investment and Industries is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What We Can Learn From Pilani Investment and Industries' P/E?

Pilani Investment and Industries appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Pilani Investment and Industries revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Pilani Investment and Industries you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Pilani Investment and Industries. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.