Stock Analysis

Little Excitement Around Nagreeka Capital & Infrastructure Ltd.'s (NSE:NAGREEKCAP) Earnings

NSEI:NAGREEKCAP
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When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 23x, you may consider Nagreeka Capital & Infrastructure Ltd. (NSE:NAGREEKCAP) as a highly attractive investment with its 3.9x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Nagreeka Capital & Infrastructure has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Our analysis indicates that NAGREEKCAP is potentially undervalued!

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NSEI:NAGREEKCAP Price Based on Past Earnings November 21st 2022
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Nagreeka Capital & Infrastructure, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

Nagreeka Capital & Infrastructure's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 412%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Nagreeka Capital & Infrastructure's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Nagreeka Capital & Infrastructure revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Nagreeka Capital & Infrastructure (of which 3 make us uncomfortable!) you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Nagreeka Capital & Infrastructure. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nagreeka Capital & Infrastructure might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.