Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Muthoot Microfin Limited's (NSE:MUTHOOTMF) Low P/E

NSEI:MUTHOOTMF
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Muthoot Microfin Limited's (NSE:MUTHOOTMF) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 30x and even P/E's above 56x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Muthoot Microfin certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Muthoot Microfin

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:MUTHOOTMF Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 3rd 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Muthoot Microfin will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For Muthoot Microfin?

Muthoot Microfin's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 237% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's understandable that Muthoot Microfin's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Muthoot Microfin's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Muthoot Microfin maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Muthoot Microfin that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Muthoot Microfin is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.