Stock Analysis

Take Care Before Diving Into The Deep End On Muthoot Finance Limited (NSE:MUTHOOTFIN)

NSEI:MUTHOOTFIN
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Muthoot Finance Limited's (NSE:MUTHOOTFIN) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 26x and even P/E's above 48x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Muthoot Finance's earnings growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. It might be that many expect the mediocre earnings performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Muthoot Finance

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:MUTHOOTFIN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 14th 2025
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Muthoot Finance.
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How Is Muthoot Finance's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Muthoot Finance's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 20%. EPS has also lifted 24% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 19% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 19% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Muthoot Finance's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Muthoot Finance's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Muthoot Finance (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Muthoot Finance's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.