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With A 26% Price Drop For MOS Utility Limited (NSE:MOS) You'll Still Get What You Pay For
MOS Utility Limited (NSE:MOS) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 188% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large drop in price, MOS Utility's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 58.1x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 32x and even P/E's below 18x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Earnings have risen firmly for MOS Utility recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for MOS Utility
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on MOS Utility's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, MOS Utility would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 16%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 870% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we can see why MOS Utility is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the bourse.
The Key Takeaway
MOS Utility's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of MOS Utility revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its high P/E, given they look better than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Having said that, be aware MOS Utility is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those shouldn't be ignored.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MOS
MOS Utility
Provides unified open API and wallet platform in India.