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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Inventure Growth & Securities Limited (NSE:INVENTURE) With Shares Advancing 28%
Inventure Growth & Securities Limited (NSE:INVENTURE) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Inventure Growth & Securities' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.1x is worth a mention when the median P/E in India is similar at about 29x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
For instance, Inventure Growth & Securities' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Inventure Growth & Securities
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Inventure Growth & Securities will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Some Growth For Inventure Growth & Securities?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Inventure Growth & Securities would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 9.7%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 42% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we find it interesting that Inventure Growth & Securities is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Inventure Growth & Securities' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Inventure Growth & Securities revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Inventure Growth & Securities (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to be mindful of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Inventure Growth & Securities. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:INVENTURE
Proven track record with adequate balance sheet.